DESCRIPTIVE AND SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF INFLUENZA PREVALENCE TRENDS IN SOUTH EAST SULAWESI PROVINCE IN 2016

Abstract

Influenza is an acute respiratory infection (ARI) caused by RNA viruses from the Orthomyxoviridae family. As a disease with a high transmission rate, influenza remains a significant public health threat due to its potential to trigger extraordinary events (KLB) and a high morbidity burden. This study aims to statistically analyze the temporal prevalence trends and spatial distribution of influenza in South East Sulawesi Province during the 2016 period. The method used is descriptive quantitative, utilizing secondary data sourced from the annual health surveillance reports of the South East Sulawesi Provincial Health Office. Analysis was conducted to identify monthly incidence patterns and map the disease burden across 17 regencies/cities.

The results showed dynamic fluctuations in the number of monthly cases, where peak prevalence had a strong correlation with climatological factors, especially during transitional seasons (pancaroba) and periods of high air humidity. Spatially, there was a clear disparity in prevalence; urban areas (such as Kendari City and Baubau City) showed much higher incidence rates compared to regency areas. This indicates that dense population density and high community mobility in city centers are primary catalysts in accelerating virus transmission.

As an innovative aspect of health information dissemination, data visualization in this study is presented through statistical graphs integrating local South East Sulawesi batik motifs. This approach aims to improve community data literacy through a touch of local wisdom without reducing the scientific value of the information conveyed. This study concludes that the distribution of influenza in South East Sulawesi is heterogeneous and highly influenced by environmental factors and urbanization dynamics. These findings recommend the need to strengthen early warning systems and health interventions that are more focused on areas with a high risk of transmission.